AI Called It · outcome predictor

NC State @ Virginia

Aug 29, 2026 · Scott Stadium · Week Zero. We simulate the game 10,000 times, drive by drive, drawing every play from each team's real 2025 per-play distributions — NC State's offense against Virginia's defense, and back the other way. The sliders are the 2026 unknowns the data can't know: dial in your coaching judgment and re-run it.

UVA offense carryover (new QB) — 80% Morris gone, Pribula in. 100% = full 2025 output

NCSU skill-talent carryover — 90% RB1 + top 3 WRs + TE1 departed, QB returns

Home edge (UVA) — 2.5 pts Scott Stadium, conference opener

Calibration check

These two met Sept 6, 2025: NC State 35, Virginia 31. Both staffs return both coordinators for 2026; UVA changes quarterbacks, NC State changes skill personnel — that's exactly what the sliders adjust.